Document Type
Article
Publication Date
6-10-2018
Abstract
We derive a Bayesian criterion for assessing whether signals observed in two separate data sets originate from a common source. The Bayes factor for a common versus unrelated origin of signals includes an overlap integral of the posterior distributions over the common-source parameters. Focusing on multimessenger gravitational-wave astronomy, we apply the method to the spatial and temporal association of independent gravitational-wave and electromagnetic (or neutrino) observations. As an example, we consider the coincidence between the recently discovered gravitational-wave signal GW170817 from a binary neutron star merger and the gamma-ray burst GRB 170817A: we find that the common-source model is enormously favored over a model describing them as unrelated signals.
Publication Source (Journal or Book title)
Astrophysical Journal
Recommended Citation
Ashton, G., Burns, E., Canton, T., Dent, T., Eggenstein, H., Nielsen, A., Prix, R., Was, M., & Zhu, S. (2018). Coincident Detection Significance in Multimessenger Astronomy. Astrophysical Journal, 860 (1) https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/aabfd2