An Integrated Global-To-Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems

Authors

Kelly Ortega-Cisneros, University of Cape Town
Denisse Fierros-Arcos, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies
Max Lindmark, Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
Camilla Novaglio, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies
Phoebe Woodworth-Jefcoats, NOAA Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center
Tyler D. Eddy, Marine Institute of Memorial University of Newfoundland
Marta Coll, CSIC - Instituto de Ciencias del Mar (ICM)
Elizabeth Fulton, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos, Université de Montpellier
Jonathan Reum, NOAA Alaska Fisheries Science Center
Yunne Jai Shin, Université de Montpellier
Cathy Bulman, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
Leonardo Capitani, Eidgenössische Forschungsanstalt für Wald, Schnee und Landschaft WSL
Samik Datta, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research
Kieran Murphy, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies
Alice Rogers, Victoria University of Wellington
Lynne Shannon, University of Cape Town
George A. Whitehouse, University of Washington
Ezekiel Adekoya, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies
Beatriz S. Dias, University of Alaska Fairbanks
Alba Fuster-Alonso, CSIC - Instituto de Ciencias del Mar (ICM)
Cecilie Hansen, Havforskningsinstituttet
Bérengère Husson, Havforskningsinstituttet
Vidette McGregor, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research
Alaia Morell, Université de Montpellier
Hem Nalini Morzaria Luna, Long Live the Kings
Jazel Ouled-Cheikh, CSIC - Instituto de Ciencias del Mar (ICM)
James Ruzicka, NOAA Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center
Jeroen Steenbeek, Ecopath International Initiative Research Association
Ilaria Stollberg, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies
Roshni C. Subramaniam, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
Vivitskaia Tulloch, North Pacific Marine Science Organization (PICES)
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz, Marine Institute of Memorial University of Newfoundland

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2-1-2025

Abstract

As the urgency to evaluate the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems increases, there is a need to develop robust projections and improve the uptake of ecosystem model outputs in policy and planning. Standardizing input and output data is a crucial step in evaluating and communicating results, but can be challenging when using models with diverse structures, assumptions, and outputs that address region-specific issues. We developed an implementation framework and workflow to standardize the climate and fishing forcings used by regional models contributing to the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) and to facilitate comparative analyses across models and a wide range of regions, in line with the FishMIP 3a protocol. We applied our workflow to three case study areas-models: the Baltic Sea Mizer, Hawai'i-based Longline fisheries therMizer, and the southern Benguela ecosystem Atlantis marine ecosystem models. We then selected the most challenging steps of the workflow and illustrated their implementation in different model types and regions. Our workflow is adaptable across a wide range of regional models, from non-spatially explicit to spatially explicit and fully-depth resolved models and models that include one or several fishing fleets. This workflow will facilitate the development of regional marine ecosystem model ensembles and enhance future research on marine ecosystem model development and applications, model evaluation and benchmarking, and global-to-regional model comparisons.

Publication Source (Journal or Book title)

Earth S Future

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