Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-1-2022
Abstract
This study discussed four methods to project a diameter distribution from age A1 to age A2. Method 1 recovers parameters of the distribution at age A2 from stand attributes at that age. Method 2 uses a stand-level model to grow the quadratic mean diameter, and then recovers the distribution parameters from that prediction. Method 3 grows the diameter distribution by assuming tree-level survival and diameter growth functions. Method 4 first converts the diameter distribution at age A1 into a list of individual trees before growing these trees to age A2. In a numerical example employing the Weibull distribution, methods 3 and 4 produced better results based on two types of error indices and the relative predictive error for each diameter class. Method 4 is a novel method that converts a diameter distribution into a list of individual trees, and in the process, successfully links together diameter-distribution, individual-tree, and whole-stand models.
Publication Source (Journal or Book title)
Canadian Journal of Forest Research
First Page
561
Last Page
567
Recommended Citation
Cao, Q. (2022). Predicting future diameter distributions given current stand attributes. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 52 (4), 561-567. https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-2021-0216